据今日石油2020年11月15日乔治敦城报道，国际货币基金组织（IMF）日前把圭亚那今年的经济增长预期下调了一半，至26%，但圭亚那仍将是今年全球经济增长最快的国家，并预测2021年将增长8%，2022年将增长29%。
加勒比海地区资深经济学家Marla Dukharan在她11月发布的《加勒比海地区月度经济报告》中说，今年上半年圭亚那的石油GDP同比大幅增长了45.9%，而非石油GDP同比则收缩了4.9%。
根据来自圭亚那银行半年报告的统计数据，今年上半年圭亚那石油和天然气以及支持服务行业增长了4712.9%。圭亚那石油行业今年上半年的原油产量为1234.9835万桶，平均日产量在6.5万桶至7.5万桶之间。
圭亚那银行表示，这一业绩比审核期的目标12万桶/天低了38%- 46%。由于COVID-19疫情在全球的不利影响，需求低迷和原油库存增加，石油和天然气行业面临油价大幅下跌。
据悉，圭亚那12月份将对外装运今年第4批也是最后一批100万桶丽莎原油。
李峻 编译自 今日石油
原文如下：
Guyana Oil GDP increased by 45.9% in first half of 2020 – Marla Dukharan
The International Monetary Fund has cut its growth projection in half for new oil producer Guyana to 26% for 2020 – still the fastest in the world – and forecasts 8% growth in 2021 and 29% in 2022.
Caribbean Economist, Marla Dukharan, said in her November Caribbean Monthly Economic Report that Guyana’s oil GDP increased by 45.9% in H1 2020, while non-oil GDP contracted 4.9% y/y.
According to figures from the Bank of Guyana’s Half Year Report, the petroleum and gas, and support services industry expanded by 4,712.9 percent in H1 2020. The industry recorded crude oil production of 12,349,835 barrels, with an average output per day ranging between 65,000 and 75,000 barrels.
“However, this performance was 38-46 percent lower than the 120,000 barrels per day targeted during the review period,” the Bank of Guyana said. “The petroleum and gas industry was faced a sharp drop in oil prices from depressed demand and higher inventory of crude oil as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic’s adverse effect globally.”
Guyana is set to lift its fourth and final 1-million-barrel shipment of Liza Crude for 2020, next month.
