据油价网利雅得报道,沙特阿拉伯国家石油公司(沙特阿美)首席执行官阿明?纳赛尔在12月4日举行的一个行业活动上表示,油价将在明年下半年出现有意义的复苏,这是因为对产油国来说,石油市场的最糟糕时期已经过去。
《石油经济学家》援引纳赛尔在接受石油化工行业协会化学家俱乐部颁发的2020年卡瓦勒奖时说,“我们仍在隧道中,但我相信我们现在可以看到隧道尽头的更多光明。”
尽管欧洲和美国出现的第二波冠状病毒疫情仍存在不确定性,但纳赛尔说,“我相信石油市场的最糟糕的时刻已经过去。”
明年初疫苗推出的前景,以及亚洲石油需求强劲复苏的迹象,令沙特阿美及其高管对明年(尤其是明年下半年)石油市场的前景感到乐观。
“我们可以预期2021年下半年石油市场会出现有意义的复苏,”纳赛尔如是说。
沙特石油巨头的这位高管担心说,目前的低迷将严重限制未来对上游油气行业的投资。
纳赛尔补充称,沙特阿美继续押注于在下游的扩张,以利用石化产品预期的增长。
大约一个月前,沙特阿拉伯能源大臣阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹?本?萨勒曼王子表示,石油市场最糟糕的时期已经过去。在CERAWeek的印度能源论坛上发表这一声明的两周后,制药公司开始宣布疫苗的突破,这给石油市场带来了希望,即明年疫苗的推出将大大促进燃料需求和旅行。
在11月底,油价触及了3月初以来的最高水平。3月初,沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯就如何在疫情中管理石油供应产生分歧,引发了一场短暂的石油价格战,导致油价暴跌和需求减少。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下:
Aramco CEO Sees Meaningful Oil Price Recovery In 2021
Oil prices are set to see a meaningful recovery in the second half of next year as the worst for producers, and the market is behind us, Amin Nasser, the chief executive of Saudi oil giant Aramco, said at an industry event this week.
“We are still in the tunnel, but I believe we can now see more light at the end of the tunnel,” Petroleum Economist quoted Nasser as saying as he was accepting the 2020 Kavaler Award from petrochemicals industry association The Chemists’ Club.
Although there is still uncertainty over the second coronavirus waves in Europe and the United States, “I believe the worst is behind us at this moment,” Nasser said.
The prospects of vaccine rollout early next year and signs of a strong recovery in oil demand in Asia makes Aramco and its top executive optimistic about the oil market’s prospects next year, especially in the latter half.
“We can expect a better recovery in the oil market in the second half of 2021,” Nasser said, as carried by Petroleum Economist.
The top executive of the Saudi oil giant voiced concern that the current downturn would severely constrain future investment in upstream oil and gas.
Aramco continues to bet on expanding in the downstream to take advantage of expected growth in petrochemicals, Nasser added.
about a month ago, Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, said that the worst is over for the oil market. That statement at the CERAWeek’s India Energy Forum came two weeks before pharmaceutical companies started announcing vaccine breakthroughs, giving the oil market hope that vaccine rollouts next year would significantly help fuel demand and traveling.
At the end of November, oil prices hit their highest level since early March, when Saudi Arabia and Russia disagreed on how to manage oil supply in the pandemic and started a brief oil price war that contributed to the price collapse together with the demand destruction.