据12月29日Rigzone报道，投资者在猜测新冠肺炎疫苗推出将导致经济最终反弹以及短期需求前景不断恶化，这两种预期之间进行权衡，而在美元走软的情况下，油价走高。
纽约期货交易所周一下跌1.3%，之后上涨至每桶48美元以上。美元贬值提高了石油等以美元计价的大宗商品的吸引力。
然而，新冠肺炎疫情感染人数飙升势头有增无减。在病例激增的情况下，南加州将延长封锁期。在欧洲，德国担心其疫苗推出的缓慢步伐可能会延长疫情对经济造成的损害。与此同时，该疫情也在亚洲卷土重来，为此，泰国收紧了限制措施，韩国每天的死亡人数上升到创纪录水平。过去几周，受疫苗利好消息推动的原油价格涨势有所放缓，有迹象显示，原油价格攀升的幅度可能已经超过了能源需求的复苏进程。欧佩克+还计划从1月份起将石油日产量再增加50万桶，同时，俄罗斯副总理上周表示，俄罗斯将支持在2月份逐步增产。
荷兰国际集团(ING Groep NV)驻新加坡的大宗商品策略主管Warren Patterson表示："对病毒的再度担忧将在近期限制油价上行，部分消息人士认为俄罗斯在2月份将增加产量。”他补充道，油价走势将继续受新冠肺炎疫情的进展而变动。
在价格方面，截至伦敦时间上午7点49分，纽约商品交易所(New York Mercantile Exchange) 2月份交割的西德克萨斯中质原油价格上涨0.9%，至每桶48.06美元。欧洲期货交易所2月份交割的布伦特原油价格上涨0.9%，至每桶51.33美元，周一下跌0.8%。
布兰特原油三个月期价差为每桶15美分，这是一种看跌的市场结构，即近期合约价格低于远期合约价格。值得注意的是，在本月初，现货溢价一度高达27美分，这一变化反映了市场情绪的恶化。
王佳晶 摘译自 Rigzone
原文如下：
Oil Rise Aided by Dollar
Oil pushed higher with support from a weakening dollar as investors weighed a worsening short-term demand outlook against an eventual rebound as Covid-19 vaccines are rolled out.
Futures in New York rose past $48 a barrel after falling 1.3% Monday. A dip in the dollar boosted the appeal of commodities like oil that are priced in the currency.
The coronavirus continued to surge unabated, however. Southern California is set to extend a lockdown amid a surge in cases, while Germany is concerned the slow pace of its vaccine rollout could prolong the economic damage from the pandemic. The virus is also making a comeback in Asia, with Thailand tightening restrictions and South Korea’s daily death toll rising to a record.Crude’s vaccine-driven rally has faltered in the last couple of weeks “Renewed concern over the virus will limit the upside for oil in the near term” and noise around Russia supposedly favoring adding more output in February won’t help either, said Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING Groep NV in Singapore. Price moves will continue to be driven by Covid-19 developments, he said.
Prices
West Texas Intermediate for February delivery rose 0.9% to $48.06 a barrel Brent for February settlement climbed 0.9% to $51.33 Brent’s three-month timespread was 15 cents a barrel in contango, a bearish market structure where near-dated prices are cheaper than later-dated ones. The spread was as much as 27 cents in backwardation earlier this month, with the change reflecting the worsening market sentiment.