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相较于需求 2024年石油供应将对全球市场构成更大问题

2023-02-17 08:04浙江3400中国石化

中国石化新闻网讯 据钻机地带2月14日报道,阿联酋能源部长Suhail Al Mazrouei表示,由于一些国家在生产和投资方面举步维艰,2024年石油供应将对全球市场构成比需求更大的问题。

Suhail Al Mazrouei在迪拜接受彭博电视台采访时表示,全球石油市场目前处于平衡状态,这进一步表明,阿联酋和欧佩克+产油国今年将坚持目前的产量目标。

但他警告称,当欧佩克及其合作伙伴在今年年底审议2024年的计划时,最大的难题可能是世界如何满足不断增长的消费。

Mazrouei表示:“我不担心需求——我们担心的是未来是否会有足够的供应。令我担忧的是,我看到许多国家的产量下降。”

他的言论与欧佩克秘书长Haitham Al-Ghais的言论相呼应。Haitham Al-Ghais周一警告称,市场正遭受“长期”投资不足的困扰。

阿联酋最高能源官员表示,就今年而言,最近石油库存的增长表明市场上有足够的数量,价格也证明了平衡。

他表示,需要时刻注意经济放缓,并补充称,欧佩克+仍准备在必要时采取措施。Mazrouei表示,由于美国周一宣布计划从其战略储备中释放更多原油,他预计“不会受到冲击”。

来自欧佩克+联盟的代表表示,该组织打算在今年剩余时间里坚持目前的产量目标,尽管产能大国上周宣布每天大幅减产50万桶,以回应欧盟的制裁。

Mazrouei表示,阿联酋不担心目前与欧佩克+达成的产量配额,但在该组织讨论2024年产量时,其将考虑是否寻求更高的产量。

RBC Capital Markets LLC上月表示,阿布扎比今年可能会寻求更高的目标,以利用过去几年开发的新产能。

郝芬 译自 钻机地带

原文如下:

Oil Supplies A Bigger Issue Than Demand For 2024

Oil supplies will pose a bigger issue than demand for global markets in 2024 as some countries struggle with production and investment, the United Arab Emirates energy minister said.

Global oil markets are currently balanced, Suhail Al Mazrouei told Bloomberg TV in Dubai, adding to signals that the UAE and fellow OPEC+ producers will stick with current production targets this year.

But he cautioned that, when the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners review plans for 2024 at the end of the year, the biggest quandary may be how the world will satisfy rising consumption. 

“I’m not worried about demand — what worries us is whether we are going to have enough supplies in the future,” Mazrouei said. “What worries me is the decline that I see in many countries’ production.” 

His remarks echo those of OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais, who warned>For this year, the UAE’s top energy official said that recent growth in oil inventories shows “there’s enough volumes in the market, and the price also is a testimony of the balance.”

“You need always to be mindful of the slowdown in the economy,” he said, adding that OPEC+ remains prepared to act if needed. Mazrouei said he’s “not expecting a shock” as a result of US plans announced>Delegates from the OPEC+ alliance have said the group intends to adhere to current output targets for the rest of the year, even after fellow member the bigger producer announced a hefty 500,000 barrel-a-day output cutback last week in retaliation for European Union sanctions. 

The UAE isn’t concerned about its current production quota agreed with OPEC+, though it will consider whether to seek a higher level when the group comes to discuss output for 2024, Mazrouei said.

RBC Capital Markets LLC said last month that Abu Dhabi might seek a higher target this year in order to utilize new capacity it has developed over the past few years. 


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