中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2023年2月22日报道，欧盟排放市场上的二氧化碳价格日前创下历史新高，达到每吨98.30欧元(104美元)，原因是欧洲将迎来一段寒潮，预计风力发电量将较低。
一位碳排放交易商对路透社记者表示：“北欧下周的气温实际上预计将低于季节性平均水平，这可能促使公用事业公司增加他们的套期保值活动。”
今年早些时候，路透社曾报道，分析师预计，由于欧洲国家开始从能源危机中复苏，能源价格下降，欧盟的二氧化碳价格在今年和未来两年将呈上升趋势。
自2023年初以来，欧盟的二氧化碳价格已经上涨了20%，而且根据天气情况，可能会进一步上涨。分析师预计，今年欧盟的平均二氧化碳价格为每吨81.40欧元，到2024年将升至每吨94.14欧元。
然而，在本周达到峰值后，一些分析师预测，今年晚些时候，二氧化碳价格可能会突破每吨100欧元(106美元)。据《金融时报》报道，这种情况2月21日已经发生了，一项欧盟二氧化碳限额达到每吨101欧元。
布鲁塞尔的许多能源转型支持者希望尽快看到这样的价格，因为更高的排放成本被视为激励更多努力和投资脱碳的关键。
皮埃尔·安杜兰旗下对冲基金的气候研究主管向英国《金融时报》表示：“这个排放市场的根本问题在于，欧盟已经为更高的价格扫清了道路，因为这是实现减排目标的最终所需。”
欧盟计划在2039年之前逐步取消排放许可证，这为未来二氧化碳价格提供了巨大的上涨潜力。去年，由于天然气短缺导致对碳排放许可证的需求增加，煤炭发电的增加也有力推动了二氧化碳价格的上涨。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
EU Carbon Price Surges Past $100
The price of carbon dioxide>“Temperatures in Northern Europe are actually now forecasted to go below seasonal averages next week, which might instigate utilities to increase their hedging activities,”>Earlier this year, Reuters reported that analysts expected carbon prices in the EU to trend higher this year and the next two as European countries began to recover from the energy crisis and the price of energy declined.
Since the start of 2023, the price of carbon in the EU has already gained 20 percent and, depending>After this week’s peak, however, some analysts are forecasting carbon dioxide could top 100 euros, or $106, later this year. According to the Financial Times, this already happened, yesterday, with>Many energy transition proponents in Brussels have hoped to see such prices as soon as possible as the higher cost of emissions is seen as critical for motivating more efforts—and investments—in decarbonization.
“The fundamental point about this market is the EU has cleared the way for higher prices as that is what is ultimately needed to meet their aims of cutting emissions,” the head of climate research at Pierre Andurand’s hedge fund told the FT.
The EU plans to gradually phase out emission permits by 2039, which lends a significant upward potential to future prices. Last year, carbon prices also got a solid push by the increase of coal-powered generation amid the gas shortage, which led to greater demand for carbon permits.