据全球石油新闻网2019年5月14日奥斯陆报道，挪威著名的能源研究和咨询公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad Energy）表示，在已经紧张的原油市场之上的中东地区供应中断可能会导致油价大幅上涨。
据报道，两艘沙特阿拉伯油轮本周末在阿联酋海岸遭遇袭击，导致原油期货价格在5月13日出现大幅上涨。
雷斯塔能源公司说，导致目前全球石油市场供应紧张的原因是伊朗和委内瑞拉的石油产量下降，石油输出国组织(欧佩克)正在进行减产，俄罗斯因乌拉尔原油的污染而中断出口，哈萨克斯坦的维护作业以及北海夏季几个月的计划维护作业。
雷斯塔能源公司指出：“石油市场今天做出反应，不是因为现货市场突然失去了更多的石油供应，而是因为在未来几周和几个月里，由于关键的波斯湾地区供应中断的风险加剧，市场可能会失去更多的石油供应，届时紧张局势将进一步加剧。消息源表明，最近的事件可能与伊朗和美国之间的冲突有关，这使得霍尔木兹海峡发挥了作用。“
6艘油轮遭到“蓄意破坏”事件发生在霍尔木兹海峡附近，这是世界上最重要的石油航道。世界上大约40%的原油贸易是通过北部和南部阿联酋/阿曼之间的霍尔木兹海峡水路运输的。
除了科威特、卡塔尔和巴林的所有石油出口外，沙特阿拉伯大约90%的原油出口和伊拉克75%的原油出口都要经过这条重要的航道。
李峻 编译自 全球石油新闻
原文如下：
Oil Price Risks Rise to Dangerous Levels
Supply disruptions in the Middle East Two Saudi Arabian oil tankers were reportedly attacked off the coast of the United Arab Emirates this weekend, sending crude futures up sharply May 13.
The tightness in prompt supplies is caused by declines in production from Iran and Venezuela, along with “The oil market is reacting today not because the physical market suddenly has lost more oil supplies, but because of risks that the market may lose more oil in the coming weeks and months given the heightened risk of supply disruptions from the critical Persian Gulf region. Raising tensions even higher, news flows suggest the latest incident might be related to the conflict between Iran and the US, which puts the Strait of Hormuz in play,” Tonhaugen said.
The incident occurred near the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most important oil artery. Around 40% of the world’s traded crude oil is transported through the waterway between the north and UAE/Oman to the south.
Approximately 90% of Saudi Arabian crude exports and 75% of Iraqi exports pass through this shipping lane, in addition to all oil exports from Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain.