据能源经济12月15日消息称，美国能源情报署(EIA)周一公布的月度预测显示，美国1月页岩油气产量预计将减少约13.6万桶/天，至744万桶/天，为6月以来最低水平。
除了海恩斯维尔地区外，几乎所有7个主要储层的产量预计都将下降，海恩斯维尔地区的产量预计将基本持平。
数据显示，预计最大的降幅来自德克萨斯州和新墨西哥州的二叠纪盆地，预计该地区的产量将下降约4.4万桶/天，至420万桶/天，为6月以来最低水平。
预计第二大降幅将来自鹰福特盆地，预计该地区的产量将下滑约2.56万桶/天，至98.7万桶/天。
预计页岩油总产量将连续第四个月下降，并创下自5月以来的最大降幅，当时生产商将产量削减了约160万桶/天，以抵消COVID-19导致的全球石油需求下降。
然而，随着美国钻井平台的增加，对迅速推出疫苗的希望支撑了油价，页岩油产量将缓慢恢复。
预计1月份天然气产量也将降至6月份以来的最低水平，为807.8亿立方英尺/天，减少7.4亿立方英尺/天。
据预测，二叠纪盆地的产量降幅最大，预计将下降1.6亿立方英尺/天。预计除海恩斯维尔外，所有地区的产量都将下降。
韩婷 摘译自 能源经济
原文如下：
U.S. shale oil output to drop 136,000 bpd to 7.44 mln bpd in Jan
U.S. oil output from shale formations is expected to decline by about 136,000 barrels per day (bpd) in January to 7.44 million bpd, the lowest since June, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a monthly forecast Output at nearly all seven major formations is expected to fall, except from the Haynesville region, where output is forecast to remain largely flat.
The biggest decline is expected to come from the Permian basin of Texas and New Mexico, where production is forecast to drop by about 44,000 bpd to 4.2 million bpd, the lowest since June, the data showed.
The second-biggest drop is expected to come from the Eagle Ford basin, where production is forecast to slide by about 25,600 bpd to 987,000 bpd.
Overall shale output is expected to decline for a fourth straight month, and by the most since May, when producers slashed production by about 1.6 million bpd to offset a plunge in global oil demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
However, shale output is set to slowly recover as hopes for a swift roll-out of a vaccine prop up oil prices as U.S. drillers add rigs.
Natural gas production in January is also expected to fall to the lowest level since June, at 80.78 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd), a drop of 0.74 bcfd.
The biggest drop was forecast in the Permian region where production is expected to fall by 0.16 bcfd. Production is expected to decline in all regions except Haynesville.