中国石化新闻网讯 据美国钻井网站2023年1月6日报道,整个2022年,全球应对气候变化关键技术之一的碳捕获、利用与封存(CCUS)项目管道增加了50%以上,所有部门的公告显示出令人难以置信的增长势头。
伍德麦肯兹根据该行业的见解,对未来一年进行了预测: 2023年全球CCUS管道将快速增长。
通过独立项目和大型枢纽的结合,约1.66亿吨/年的潜在二氧化碳储存能力将在2023年进入开发阶段。然而,只有9800万吨/年的捕获能力获得最终投资决定(FID),这意味着捕获能力和存储能力之间的巨大差距。
伍德麦肯兹预计,一旦枢纽建立起来,排放国就会签署协议,尽管许多项目要到2030年结束前才能上线。
政府政策在CCUS项目经济学中起着重要作用。在某些情况下,政府政策为项目的启动提供了50%以上的支出。这种情况将在2023年继续下去,并扩大到新的地区。
例如,此前落后于其他地区的亚洲将看到更多的政策动力。马来西亚和印度尼西亚将最终确定CCUS的法规和激励措施,首先将重点放在天然气生产脱碳上。印度和日本将在各自的CCUS路线图上取得进展。最后,泰国和亚洲大国有望在融资框架方面取得进展。
在美国,2022年采取的积极政策举措——尤其是《通货膨胀削减法案》——将使企业在2023年推进CCUS项目。
项目推进,政策和监管放松,企业和国家净零目标不断增加。伍德麦肯兹认为,未来将有更多以CCUS为中心的交易。位置是碳处理的关键,企业将希望在最有利的CCUS枢纽建厂。但有机地实现这一点需要花费数年时间和专门的开发团队。
伍德麦肯兹说,“由于企业在新的地理位置寻求先发优势,我们预计2023年将出现一波并购潮。迄今为止的交易,如美国墨西哥湾的雪佛龙公司- 塔罗斯公司- Carbonvert公司和欧洲的意昂公司-Horisont 能源公司,为未来的发展提供了暗示。”
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下:
Wood Mackenzie: 2023 Could Be CCUS Breakout Year
The global CCUS project pipeline has increased by over 50 percent throughout 2022 and announcements made across all sectors show incredible momentum.
Drawing>Some 166 Mtpa of potential CO2 storage capacity will enter development throughout 2023, through a combination of standalone projects and larger hubs. However,>We expect emitters to sign up>Government policy plays a major role in CCUS project economics. It has, in some cases, provided more than 50 percent of the spend to get projects off the ground. This will continue in 2023 – and expand to new regions.
Asia will see more policy momentum, for example, having previously lagged behind other regions. Malaysia and Indonesia will finalize regulations and incentives for CCUS, focusing first>In the US, positive policy moves made in 2022 – not least the landmark Inflation Reduction Act – will enable companies to advance projects in 2023.
Projects moving forward, easing policy and regulation, ever-increasing company, and country net zero targets. Woodmac thinks that the scene is set for more deals with CCUS positions at their center. Location is key in carbon disposal, and companies will want to build positions in the most advantaged CCUS hubs. But doing this organically takes years and dedicated development teams.
“We expect to see a flurry of M&A in 2023 as companies seek first-mover advantages in new geographic locations. Deals to date, such as Chevron-Talos-Carbonvert in the US Gulf of Mexico and E.ON-Horisont Energi in Europe, provide a hint at what’s to come,” Wood Mackenzie concluded.